Crypto trading platforms operating over the weekend are offering traders an early indication of war-related risks during off-hours. According to NS3.AI, these 24/7 markets have been monitoring oil and commodity prices amid the Middle East conflict, providing insights before traditional exchanges open.

Bloomberg reported on Tuesday, March 31, citing several informed European officials, that Iran is urging Yemen's Houthi forces to prepare for attacks on Red Sea vessels. According to Ming Pao, there is internal disagreement within the Houthi leadership regarding whether to take more aggressive actions. Following the outbreak of conflict in Iran, much of the Middle Eastern oil originally exported through the Strait of Hormuz has been rerouted via Saudi Arabia's Red Sea port of Yanbu, passing through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait off Yemen to reach Asian markets. Experts warn that if the Houthis block the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, creating a situation similar to the current state of the Strait of Hormuz, international oil prices could surge further in the coming months.

Air Canada CEO Michael Rousseau is set to resign in the third quarter of this year following a political controversy. According to Ming Pao, the issue arose when Rousseau delivered a speech in English only, without using French, while commemorating two Air Canada pilots who died in an airport accident. This decision sparked political backlash, leading to the announcement of his departure.

Israel's parliament has approved a contentious death penalty law targeting Palestinians convicted of deadly terrorist attacks. According to Ming Pao, the legislation mandates the death penalty as the default punishment for Palestinians found guilty by military courts of committing fatal acts of terrorism. Critics argue that the law discriminates against Palestinians and have condemned it as undermining Israel's commitment to democratic principles. Several European countries have also criticized Israel for this move, expressing concerns over its implications for democracy.

A conversation at a local tea restaurant on Tuesday morning highlighted public curiosity about the recent changes in Hong Kong's civil service. According to Ming Pao, a customer expressed surprise at the government's decision to replace many civil servants, questioning the quality of these officials. Despite appearing average, the customer noted that they seem to perform their duties effectively. This sentiment is shared by many, particularly those from Singapore, who find it puzzling that Hong Kong's civil servants, who are not necessarily top scholars, have managed to maintain the city's status as a leading global financial hub alongside New York and London. The discussion reflects a broader curiosity about the factors contributing to the success of Hong Kong's public administration.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index concluded the last trading day of March with slight gains, marking a stable end to the month. According to Ming Pao, despite the positive performance of the index, both the market's activity yesterday and the first quarter's results did not fully align with the Hang Seng's modest rise. China's official Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for March exceeded expectations, easing concerns about the impact of oil prices on the economy. However, even with a rebound following significant declines in external markets, Hong Kong stocks may not keep pace, suggesting that expectations for future market performance should remain cautious.

Nasdaq has announced a new 'fast-track' mechanism for the inclusion of newly listed companies in the Nasdaq 100 Index. According to Ming Pao, if a newly listed company's market capitalization ranks within the top 40 of the Nasdaq 100 Index components, it can be included in the index after just 15 days of trading. This significantly reduces the current waiting period of at least three months for large-cap stocks to be considered for index inclusion. This change will allow major tech companies like SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic, which are planning to go public later this year, to be included in index-tracking funds more quickly.

The ongoing conflict in Iran, now in its fifth week, has led to sustained high energy prices, prompting some countries to sell U.S. Treasury bonds to support their economies and currencies. According to Ming Pao, data from the Federal Reserve indicates that U.S. Treasury bonds held in custody by the New York Federal Reserve for foreign central banks, government agencies, and international institutions have decreased by $82 billion since February 25, before the outbreak of the Iran conflict. This reduction brings the total value down to $2.7 trillion, the lowest level since 2012. The recent attack on a Kuwaiti oil tanker near Dubai has further fueled the rise in energy prices. Brent crude oil prices surged past $118 per barrel last night, reaching their highest level since June 2022. Data from the London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) shows that Brent crude oil futures for the near month are expected to rise by 60% in March, marking the largest monthly increase since records began in June 1988.

A recent report by UBS highlights concerns over the anticipated recovery in Hong Kong's residential market. According to Ming Pao, the market was initially expected to experience a 'mini-rebound,' but the latest data indicates signs of weakening momentum. The uncertainty surrounding interest rates further complicates the outlook. UBS's two-month disruption scenario model suggests that if the average oil price reaches $100 this year and the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates, Hong Kong's property prices may only rise by 5%, which is the lower limit of the bank's forecast. This implies that local property prices may remain stagnant from now until the end of the year. Additionally, if oil prices and U.S. interest rates increase significantly, property prices could potentially decline.

Mark Connors has suggested that Bitcoin's recent lag behind the S&P 500 might pave the way for a potential recovery. According to NS3.AI, Connors emphasized that the timing of this rebound is likely to be influenced more by geopolitical factors, particularly the ongoing conflict in Iran, rather than the current market structure.

麦肯锡报告里的那个“1%”，不是稳定币的墓志铭，是它的坐标。

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很多人对比特币矿工的印象，还停留在买矿机、挖 BTC、等币价上涨。实际上越来越多大型 BTC 矿工，开始主动向 AI 基础设施公司靠拢。