Odaily Seer 先知频道监测显示，在 Polymarket“NBA 常规赛活塞对战猛龙”预测事件中，某盈利超 160 万美元账号（地址：0xbddf61af533ff524d27154e589d2d7a81510c684）购入 11 万美元活塞让分 3.5 战胜猛龙，开仓价为 48¢。NBA 常规赛活塞对战猛龙于北京时间今日 8 点开赛。目前 NBA 常规赛已进入尾声阶段，活塞战绩为 54 胜 21 负，排名东部第 1 位；猛龙战绩为 42 胜 32 负，排名东部第 5 位。Odaily Seer 先知频道持续关注预测市场，在定价之前，看见变化。

据 Lookonchain 监测，STO 的价格今天从 0.11 美元飙升至 0.26 美元，涨幅高达 136%。一新创建的钱包 (0x5e2E)在过去 20 小时内从币安提取 2550 万枚 STO（价值 485 万美元），占流通供应量的 11.32%。

Nuveen investment strategist Laura Cooper has highlighted concerns over the limited downside potential for the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield due to high debt levels and anticipated interest rate hikes. According to Jin10, Cooper stated that unless there is a significant growth shock, fiscal pressures, rising debt levels, and the gap between market expectations and actual policy direction will likely prevent the yield from falling below 4% by the end of the year. However, potential obstacles to economic growth and weakening employment data may also limit further increases in yields. Despite bond investors engaging in 'buying the dip'—purchasing bonds when yields rise and prices fall—Cooper warns that risks associated with long-duration bonds remain.

U.S. Treasury yields fell on Wednesday following U.S. President Donald Trump's statement that the conflict with Iran could conclude within two to three weeks. According to Jin10, this development boosted U.S. bond prices, with the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields dropping approximately 6 basis points to 3.73% and 4.26%, respectively. Market analysts speculate that a rapid de-escalation of tensions might clear the path for the Federal Reserve to resume interest rate cuts. Facing declining approval ratings, Trump is under pressure to avoid the economic risks of a prolonged conflict. Kenta Inoue, a senior fixed income strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities, noted that as concerns over the energy crisis ease, the short end of the yield curve is expected to start pricing in rate cut expectations. Valentin Marinov, head of G-10 FX research at Crédit Agricole, observed that the U.S. dollar, previously a major beneficiary of the conflict, is now witnessing the unwinding of long positions.

Australia has enacted a digital asset bill that establishes two new regulated categories, mandating exchanges and custody providers to obtain financial services licenses. According to NS3.AI, this framework integrates these firms into the Australian Financial Services Licence regime under the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC). The new regulations impose rules on client asset protection, disclosures, and dispute resolution. The law targets intermediaries holding customer funds rather than the cryptocurrencies themselves. Industry executives believe that these clearer regulations could bolster local investment and encourage institutional participation.

市场消息：伊朗议会表示，霍尔木兹海峡不会开放，我们没有举行过任何谈判，将来也不会。(金十)

Alameda Research has unstaked approximately $3.56 million worth of ETH, according to Foresight News. The firm continues to hold significant assets, including around $300 million in SOL, $35 million in BTC, and 20 million USDT.

Aave Labs 在以太坊上正式上线了其筹备已久的 V4 借贷市场。

随着特朗普总统表示预见对伊战争将在两三周内结束，市场对局势降温的预期促使原油价格暴跌，英国及欧洲国债随即大幅飙升，收益率全线下挫。法国、意大利国债及英国国债收益率均下滑 10 个基点或更多。德国 10 年期基准国债收益率下跌 6 个基点至 2.94%，触及 3 月 18 日以来的最低水平。荷兰国际集团策略师 Benjamin Schroeder 等在报告中指出，在交战双方传出沟通信号后，市场正密切关注这是否会转化为实质性的降温路径。然而，考虑到已造成的破坏，能源供应究竟能多快完全恢复仍是一个悬而未决的问题。(金十)

今年 2 月，Strategy 首席执行官 Phong Le 表示，该公司正在调整策略，不再发行普通股来为其比特币购买提供资金，而是发行更多优先股。

Bitget Launchpool 即将上线项目 Mezo (MEZO)，总奖池 4,000,000 枚 MEZO，锁仓通道开放时间为 4 月 1 日 22:00 至 4 月 6 日 22:00（UTC+8）。本轮 Launchpool 共开放两个锁仓池，其中：BGB 锁仓池空投总量：3,800,000 MEZOVIP 用户锁仓上限：50,000 BGB普通用户锁仓上限：5,000 BGBMEZO 锁仓池空投总量：200,000 MEZO个人锁仓上限：5,000,000 MEZO此外，MEZO 将在 Bitget 创新区上线，现货交易通道将于 4 月 1 日 22:00（UTC+8）开放。

Strategy 发行的优先股 STRC 昨日筹集的资金可购买 2724 枚比特币。（BitcoinTreasuries.NET）

Donald Trump is declaring victory in Iran — claiming its nuclear ambitions have been crushed, its leadership wiped out, and its military dismantled — as he signals a full U.S. withdrawal within two to three weeks, a narrative that is already fueling a rebound across crypto and global markets.

Magic Eden is shutting down its crypto wallet, removing it from app stores and limiting it to export-only mode from 1 April. Users must move or export their keys before 1 May, or risk losing access to their funds permanently.

人工智能,AI Agent,OpenClaw,Claude,Anthropic,Anthropic被逼急了 亲生龙虾意外曝光 Karpathy：这就是Claude Claw 金色财经,“后提示词”时代来了。

世界上只有三种人：天才，守护他们的人，和被他们守护的人。

Russia is taking a decisive step to rein in crypto markets, approving draft legislation that would force all trading through licensed intermediaries while capping retail investors at just $3,700 per year — a move that could reshape how digital assets function inside the country.

P2P.me apologised for betting on its own fundraising round on Polymarket, saying the move caused confusion and hurt trust. The company made under $15,000 in profit, and MetaDAO is offering refunds to investors who want out before the public fundraise closes.

CRCL的价值锚点始终是同一个问题：稳定币能不能成为下一代支付基础设施？

这是一次意外的透明时刻——让我们得以窥见，当下最领先的 AI 编程 Agent 究竟是如何被一行一行构建起来的