The overnight index swap (OIS) curve indicates that the market anticipates an approximately 84% probability of the Bank of England raising interest rates twice in 2026. According to Jin10, this expectation has increased from 60% last Friday.

Gold call options continue to be positioned for an upward move, although enthusiasm for betting on a significant rise remains moderate. According to Jin10, silver call options exhibit a more cautious stance, with limited bets placed on substantial upward movements.

The cryptocurrency market has experienced a significant shift in its funding environment over the past six months, according to Odaily. Tom Dunleavy, Head of Venture Capital at Varys Capital, shared on X that the process for venture capitalists (VCs) to secure promising projects has changed drastically. Previously, VCs had to engage in extensive networking, content creation, podcast appearances, and numerous calls to attract investments. Now, simply having available funds is sufficient, as projects are actively seeking out VCs. Currently, most VC firms are in one of three states: they have exhausted their funds, shifted focus to later-stage investments (Series A and beyond), or are in the process of fundraising, albeit with difficulty. Fundraising timelines have extended from 2-3 weeks to 2-3 months. Projects with questionable business models or those merely replicating the latest trends are struggling to secure new or follow-up funding, which Dunleavy views as a positive development. There are fewer than 20 firms actively investing in pre-seed or seed rounds. VCs now have the luxury of selecting projects more carefully and conducting thorough due diligence. The investment cycle of 2025-2026 is anticipated to be a historic 'golden opportunity,' provided VCs can endure the current market conditions.

European stock markets opened with widespread declines on April 13, according to BlockBeats. The Euro Stoxx 50 index fell by 1.02%, while Germany's DAX index dropped 1.42%. The UK's FTSE 100 index decreased by 0.5%, Spain's IBEX 35 index declined 1.06%, and France's CAC 40 index saw a reduction of 0.89%.

Hyperliquid founder Jeffrey Yan has declined a substantial investment offer based on a valuation of approximately $1 billion, according to BlockBeats. The offer, which amounted to around $100 million, was turned down after careful consideration. The report indicates that prior to the investment proposal, the team had been sustaining operations through personal funds, with monthly expenses covered by Yan himself. During the investor engagement period, Yan consulted with various entrepreneurs and venture capitalists about the essence and significance of external funding but remained unconvinced that external capital could enhance the intrinsic value of Hyperliquid. On Monday, Yan informed his team of the decision to reject the investment offer. Insiders revealed that the team members responsible for managing funds were surprised by the decision, as several preparatory steps had been taken in anticipation of the funding. Yan's primary reason for declining the offer was his belief that Hyperliquid is not a traditional company but a neutral on-chain protocol. He argued that introducing external equity capital could compromise the protocol's "permissionless and neutral" stance, conflicting with its long-term design goals. Yan has publicly stated that if Bitcoin had accepted venture capital funding in its early stages, its "neutrality narrative" might have been weakened. Following this logic, he chose to maintain Hyperliquid's structure without investors and continues to support part of its operational expenses with personal funds. On January 28, 2024, Yan summarized the project's principles on social media: - No investors - No paid market makers - No fees charged to the development team - No insiders or privileged participants This statement is seen as a key element of Hyperliquid's "extreme decentralization/de-capitalization" approach.

Varys Capital 风险投资主管 Tom Dunleavy 于 X 发文表示，过去六个月里，加密货币市场的融资环境变化非常夸张。以前，VC 想投到好项目，必须不断去做网络拓展、写内容、上播客、参与 Space、宣传自己的投资逻辑，每周还要打无数电话……但现在，只要还有钱能出手就够了。现在的项目会被“推到 VC 面前”，而不用 VC 主动去挖，只要别人知道你手上有资金，项目就会主动找上门。大多数 VC 机构现在都处于以下三种状态：已经没钱了，转向后期（A 轮及之后），正在募资（但并不顺利）。以前 2–3 周就能完成的融资，现在往往要拖到 2–3 个月。那些商业模式存疑，或者只是简单复制最新热点叙事的项目，已经拿不到新的融资或后续跟投了（这是好事）。现在真正还在做 pre-seed / seed 轮投资的机构，现实中可能不到 20 家。VC 基本上可以从容挑选自己想投的项目，而且有更多时间去做尽调。2025、2026 年的这一轮投资周期，很可能会成为历史级的“黄金机会”，但前提是 VC 能坚持留下来。

Apple's stock opened at $260 on Monday as discussions intensified regarding the impact of potential delays in the launch of a foldable iPhone on AAPL. According to NS3.AI, Nikkei Asia reported that Apple's foldable iPhone models are encountering engineering and technical difficulties, which could result in a postponed release.

AI-linked scams caused around $893 million in losses in 2025, with many cases tied to crypto and fake investment schemes. Older people were heavily affected, as scammers used these tools to pose as advisers and convince them to send large amounts of money.

The future of the market is expected to be shaped by compliant multi-jurisdiction centralized exchanges (CEX) and native on-chain decentralized exchanges (DEX), with both playing complementary roles. According to PANews, these two types of exchanges will lead the way in the evolving landscape, each offering distinct functionalities that cater to different needs within the financial ecosystem. The compliant multi-jurisdiction CEX will provide regulated environments for trading, ensuring adherence to legal standards across various regions. Meanwhile, native on-chain DEX will offer decentralized platforms that prioritize transparency and user control, allowing for peer-to-peer transactions without intermediaries. Together, these exchanges will create a balanced market structure, leveraging their unique strengths to meet the diverse demands of users and investors.

Polymarket has forecasted a high valuation for the launch of Genius, with a 99% probability that its fully diluted valuation (FDV) will exceed $20 million on the day following its debut. According to Foresight News, the market also predicts a 97% chance of the FDV surpassing $50 million and a 96% chance of it exceeding $80 million. Currently, the trading volume in this prediction market has surpassed $900,000.

A large cryptocurrency holder, identified by the address starting with 0x004, has opened a Bitcoin short position with 33x leverage. According to ChainCatcher, the average price for this position is $70,745, involving 200 BTC. The position currently shows a floating loss of 10%. Earlier today, the same address closed a previous Bitcoin short position at break-even and has now re-entered the market. This marks the fifth time this month that the address has opened a short position.

Crypto wallet provider Exodus is rolling out a new “Exodus Pay” feature in its self-custodial storage wallet with aw very simple goal in mind: to making digital assets usable for everyday payments, even for beginners.

眼下正在发生一些意义重大的事，这可能标志着比特币下一阶段行情的开启。

《清晰法案》已成为检验华盛顿加密监管决心的试金石，其最终能否顺利通过，将直接决定美国在全球数字金融领域的竞争力。

新的港元稳定币如果只是以“合规支付工具”身份入场，想快速做大并不容易。因为它面对的不是一块空白市场，而是一个用户习惯、流动性和渠道入口都已基本固化的成熟网络。

World Liberty Financial’s WLFI token—linked to Donald Trump—fell to an all-time low of $0.07714 after the project was caught using billions of its own tokens as collateral to secure $75 million in stablecoin loans, raising fresh concerns about liquidity risk and DeFi market stability.

Kraken Financial has been given a limited Federal Reserve account through the Kansas City Fed, allowing its banking arm to access Fed payment systems like Fedwire under strict conditions and a one-year trial.

永续合约的崛起、链上迁移趋势，以及新兴开发者机遇。

香港首批稳定币牌照终于出炉，金管局最终仅选择了汇丰和渣打系的两家主体。参与提交申请的中资机构均曾接到有关部门的“窗口指导”，要求暂缓参与此次稳定币牌照申请。

大厂不再只堆GPU，而是同步扩张一整层“CPU调度基础设施”，专门为AI智能体提供运行支撑。当算力不再稀缺，谁能最先解决系统级的瓶颈，谁才能在这场游戏中笑到最后。