Prediction market transactions reached an unprecedented 191 million in March. According to NS3.AI, the monthly notional trading volume also saw a significant increase, climbing to $23.9 billion. Data from Dune indicates that transactions surged by 2,838% compared to the same period last year.

BIT 在 X 平台发文表示，以太坊已跌破关键技术支撑位，当前呈现熊旗形态，通常预示下行趋势可能延续。其指出，类似结构曾于今年 1 月出现，随后价格明显回落。资金面方面，其表示成交量持续低迷，市场参与度不足，且以太坊 ETF 自去年 9 月以来持续净流出，近期未见明显改善。同时，USDC 铸造量放缓并转为净流出，反映生态内流动性恢复仍不稳固。在链上活动及 DeFi 需求未明显回暖的背景下，以太坊需求修复仍需时间。

New Zealand's Finance Minister, Willis, stated that the Treasury has not yet provided an update on inflation forecasts. According to Jin10, the Treasury maintains a range of inflation expectation scenarios.

The S&P 500 index may experience further declines as oil prices continue to rise. According to ChainCatcher, Paul Chew from Phillip Securities Research highlighted that since the outbreak of the Middle East conflict, the index has already fallen by 7.9% from its peak. Chew noted that during the Gulf War and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the index saw declines of 17%. He emphasized that the market still has room for further downward movement, particularly with the ongoing increase in oil prices.

On March 30, analysts from Fitch's BMI unit indicated that the Monetary Authority of Singapore's policy response could keep both overall and core inflation rates at an average of 1.8% in 2026. According to Jin10, the analysts expect that if the US-Iran conflict is brief, the Monetary Authority of Singapore will maintain its policy settings unchanged in 2026. However, they believe that if the conflict extends beyond March, the risk of policy tightening in April will increase. Should the Monetary Authority of Singapore tighten its policy, the Singapore dollar exchange rate could be stronger than BMI's current forecast of 1 USD to 1.28 SGD by the end of 2026.

Global sovereign bonds are experiencing an upswing due to fears that the Middle East conflict could hinder global economic growth. According to Jin10, this has reignited market interest in government bonds that were previously sold off. During the Asian trading session, U.S., Australian, and Japanese government bonds saw gains, as the market speculates that soaring oil prices may signal a long-term global energy shortage. This has bolstered demand for government bonds, which had faced selling pressure recently due to inflation concerns overshadowing their traditional safe-haven appeal. Macquarie Group strategist Gareth Berry noted, "If the Middle East war remains unresolved, the market is now boldly imagining what the world will look like in a month. People are already drawing parallels to the COVID-19 pandemic period, as the economy faces shutdown risks—this time due to a lack of fuel." Prior to this bond rally, the market had endured weeks of sell-offs due to rising oil prices and concerns over potential central bank interest rate hikes. Recently, the market's focus has shifted to slowing economic growth, alleviating fears that central banks might need to adopt aggressive hawkish stances to control inflation.

According to Jin10, on March 30, the prices of gold jewelry in China are generally stable, ranging between 1,385 yuan and 1,395 yuan per gram. Notably, the prices for Chow Tai Seng's 999 pure gold, Laopu Gold's pure gold jewelry, and Chow Tai Fook's pure gold items, including jewelry and ornaments, are all set at 1,395 yuan per gram.

Sam Altman's World Foundation has secretly dumped $65 million worth of WLD tokens, selling them at steep discounts right at a time when the token is hitting historic lows, amplifying fears of deeper downside ahead.

Elon Musk has announced that Grok has begun automatically translating and recommending posts in other languages. According to Odaily, this new feature identifies foreign language content and translates it directly into users' feeds, eliminating the need for manual translation. Users have reported seeing a significant number of translated foreign language posts in their timelines.

According to the announcement from Binance, starting at approximately 2026-03-30 12:00 (UTC), the platform will temporarily suspend deposits and withdrawals of tokens on the Moonriver (MOVR) network. This suspension is to facilitate a network upgrade aimed at enhancing user experience. The upgrade is scheduled to occur at block height 15,692,116, which is expected to be reached around 2026-03-30 13:00 (UTC). The trading of tokens on the Moonriver network will remain unaffected during this period. Binance assures users that it will manage all technical requirements associated with the upgrade. Once the network is deemed stable post-upgrade, deposits and withdrawals will be reopened. However, no further announcements will be made regarding the reopening. Users are advised to stay informed through the project team's communications for any additional updates.

马斯克表示，Grok 已开始自动翻译并推荐其他语言帖子。相较此前需手动点击翻译按钮的方式，新功能可主动识别外语内容并翻译后直接推送至用户信息流。已有用户反馈时间线中出现大量经翻译的外语帖子。

美联储,米兰,货币政策,流动性,Stephen Miran：美联储（或）将如何缩表？ 金色财经,可以且不难，但很慢。

OnePay, backed by Walmart, has added over a dozen crypto tokens including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Polygon, Arbitrum, Cardano, Bitcoin Cash, and PAX Gold to its app, aiming to make digital assets easy for everyday customers.

Circle真正聪明之处，让Agent取代人的数量和消费能力极限，给资本市场造了一个通往无限用户之梦。

一个连法律基础都没有的政策选项被认真考虑，意味着所有正常选项都已经用尽。这个三十年豪赌的到期日，已经到了。

从“手动挡”的OpenClaw到“自动挡”的Rotifer，AI能力进化的下一站。

Polymarket免费时代通过激励交易者为市场注入流动性搭建起了用户基础，而收费时代则必须证明其收费的合理性。Polymarket收费决策效果如何，仍有待观察。

未来，若中东冲突持续或扩大，油价与通胀压力将进一步固化紧缩预期，美债市场压力或将加剧；反之，若外交努力促成缓和，市场可能出现阶段性修复。

比特币已经走向成熟，并被更大规模的资金池接纳；比特币与金融体系的结合愈发紧密，对宏观环境的反应也更加敏感。

AI支付真正值得聊的，往往不是“支付”两个字。对于广大互联网用户来说，大家的体感可能是：一个APP或者AI助理，当我用人话向它表达购物需求时，它能直接搞定。