According to ChainCatcher, reports suggest that the U.S. and Israel may resume strikes on Iran as early as next week, stirring expectations of interest rate hikes in the bond market. The final meeting minutes of the 'Powell Era' are also anticipated. Here are the key events to watch next week (all times in UTC+8): On Tuesday at 9:30, the Reserve Bank of Australia will release the minutes of its May monetary policy meeting. Later at 20:00, Fed Governor Christopher Waller will speak at a European Central Bank research conference. At 20:15, the weekly change in ADP employment numbers up to May 2 will be announced. On Wednesday at 7:00, Anna Paulson, the 2026 FOMC voting member and President of the Philadelphia Fed, will deliver a speech. On Thursday at 2:00, the Federal Reserve will release its monetary policy meeting minutes. At 20:00, Philip Lane, Chief Economist of the European Central Bank, will speak at the ECB research conference. The current AI boom and consumer spending under inflationary pressure are two major factors influencing U.S. stock market trends. Next week, semiconductor giant Nvidia (NVDA) and retail company Walmart (WMT) are set to release their earnings reports. Nvidia will announce its earnings after the U.S. market closes on Wednesday, while Walmart will release its report before the market opens on Thursday.

Crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe has stated that Bitcoin's bear market concluded at $60,000 in February. According to NS3.AI, van de Poppe believes the overall trend for Bitcoin remains bullish. He noted that Bitcoin typically rallies to its 50-week moving average following the end of a bear market, estimating this level to be around $93,000.

Morgan Stanley's spot Bitcoin ETF has expanded its holdings by adding 74.536 BTC, valued at approximately $5.93 million. According to NS3.AI, this addition brings the fund's total Bitcoin holdings to 3,389 BTC. Arkham data estimates the total value of the fund's Bitcoin holdings at $273 million.

ECB Governing Council member Yannis Stournaras stated that the European Central Bank (ECB) can implement small interest rate hikes to control inflation without harming the economy. According to Jin10, Stournaras mentioned that even if inflation remains significantly above target for a period, as long as it is temporary, future monetary policy tightening should be moderate. This approach aims to curb further inflation spread while minimizing economic impact. The duration and intensity of the energy crisis, along with its transmission to the real economy, will also influence the ECB's response. The ECB will continue to closely evaluate all available data and is prepared to set policy rates at levels consistent with maintaining price stability in the medium term. Stournaras, typically known for his dovish stance, emphasized that there is currently no strong evidence of second-round inflation effects. However, he warned that uncertainty is rising due to damage to energy infrastructure in the Gulf region, which could extend inflationary pressures in the medium term. Extended delivery times and rising input costs indicate increasing pressure on supply chains.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs shed $1 billion in net outflows last week, snapping a six-week inflow streak that had attracted a combined $3.4 billion and marking one of the sharpest weekly reversals in fund flows since the products launched. The turnaround reflects a deteriorating macro backdrop — hot inflation data, surging bond yields, and rapidly repriced Federal Reserve expectations — that overwhelmed the positive momentum built through April and early May. How the week unfolded: a cautious start, then a cascade The week opened with modest optimism. Monday posted $27.29 million in net inflows, suggesting the prior week's macro concerns had not yet translated into sustained institutional selling. That changed sharply on Tuesday, when $233.25 million exited the funds — the first significant outflow of the week and a sign that the inflation narrative was beginning to bite. Wednesday was the worst single session, with $635.23 million in outflows representing one of the largest single-day redemptions the Bitcoin ETF complex has seen. Thursday offered a brief reprieve, with $131.31 million in inflows providing a momentary reversal. But Friday erased that recovery entirely, with a further $290.42 million in outflows sealing the week at exactly $1 billion in net redemptions. The daily flow pattern mirrors the macro news cycle precisely. Wednesday's record single-day outflows coincided with the PPI reading that showed producer prices rising at their highest annual rate since 2022. Friday's selling followed the global bond market rout that pushed US 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5% and triggered Bitcoin's slide to near $78,000. Where the six-week streak stood before the reversal The $1 billion weekly outflow lands in stark contrast to what preceded it. The six-week inflow streak that just ended had attracted $3.4 billion in cumulative net inflows, with the week of April 17 standing out as the strongest individual week at $996.38 million. Total net assets across all spot Bitcoin ETF products now sit at $104.29 billion, with cumulative net inflows since launch at $58.34 billion — figures that underscore how much institutional capital has entered the space even as weekly flows have turned negative. Where capital is rotating: AI stocks and crypto regulation plays Analysts at Bitunix noted in a recent note that capital is aggressively rotating toward both the AI growth narrative and institutionalization plays within crypto itself. NVIDIA, Google, and Apple pushed toward fresh all-time highs last week, while AI chipmaker Cerebras surged more than 70% intraday on its IPO debut — drawing risk capital that might otherwise have flowed into Bitcoin ETFs. On the crypto side, the CLARITY Act's advancement through the Senate Banking Committee created a different kind of rotation within the asset class. Coinbase shares rallied sharply following the vote as markets priced in the regulatory progress, and Bitcoin climbed back toward $82,000 on Thursday before Friday's macro selloff reversed those gains. The pattern suggests that within crypto, capital is rotating toward regulatory beneficiaries and infrastructure plays rather than pure Bitcoin spot exposure through ETFs. Bitunix flagged the resulting price structure as a market on edge. Heavy short liquidity sits clustered between $82,400 and $82,600, with $80,000 as the key support level. "Current price action suggests the market has clearly entered a high-leverage volatility structure, as capital waits for further direction from the three dominant macro themes: AI expansion, US-China relations, and crypto regulation," the firm wrote. Ether ETFs: five consecutive days of outflows Spot Ether ETFs fared even worse, recording outflows across all five trading sessions last week without a single positive day. Tuesday was the worst session at $130.62 million, followed by $65.65 million on Friday, $36.30 million on Wednesday, $16.89 million on Monday, and $5.65 million on Thursday. The five-day streak totaled $254.46 million in net outflows, pulling total net assets in Ether ETF products down to $12.93 billion by week's end. The consistent daily outflows in Ether ETFs — with no interruption across the full trading week — reinforce the broader picture of institutional risk reduction rather than selective asset rotation. When both Bitcoin and Ether ETF products see sustained outflows simultaneously, it points to a macro-driven de-risking rather than a reallocation within crypto. What the outflows signal heading into next week The $1 billion weekly outflow is significant but not yet catastrophic in the context of $104 billion in total net assets. The more important signal is the directional shift — from six consecutive weeks of institutional buying to a week of broad-based redemptions — which reflects how quickly the macro narrative changed following this week's inflation data. The path back to sustained inflows likely requires one of two developments: either inflation data stabilizes and bond yields retreat, relieving pressure on risk assets broadly, or the CLARITY Act makes further legislative progress that provides a crypto-specific catalyst strong enough to pull institutional capital back in despite the macro headwind. Neither condition appears imminent heading into the weekend.

Bitcoin slid to near $78,000 in Asian morning hours on Saturday, erasing all gains from the past week as a global bond market rout, back-to-back hot inflation prints, and rising oil prices combined to trigger the most severe crypto liquidation event in weeks. More than $580 million in positions were wiped out over 24 hours, with 95% of the damage hitting leveraged long bets — a one-sided flush that exposed just how heavily the market had been positioned for upside that did not arrive. The liquidation cascade: $581 million, 95% longs CoinGlass data showed $581 million in total liquidations over 24 hours, with $552 million coming from long positions and just $28 million from shorts. Bitcoin led individual asset liquidations at $189 million, followed by Ether at $151 million. The largest single liquidation order was a $21.59 million BTCUSDT position on Bitget. A 95% long skew on a $581 million flush is the signature of a market caught leaning heavily in one direction when the move goes the other way. Leverage had been building on the bullish side through the week as traders positioned for a break above the 200-day moving average at $82,000 — a level that never gave way — and the unwind was correspondingly one-sided when the macro backdrop deteriorated sharply. Price action: Bitcoin reverses a week of gains in 24 hours Bitcoin dropped 3.2% over 24 hours to near $78,000, reversing all gains from the past seven days during which it had briefly traded above $82,000 following the Senate Banking Committee's advancement of the CLARITY Act. The legislative tailwind proved no match for a global bond market repricing that moved faster and with more force than any single crypto catalyst could offset. Across the major tokens, losses were broad and deep. Solana fell 5% to $86.98, now down 7% over seven days. XRP slid 4.3% to $1.41, giving back most of Thursday's CLARITY Act-driven gains. Ether dropped 3.3% to $2,189, with its weekly decline widening to 5.3% — the worst performance among the majors. Dogecoin slipped 4.2% to $0.1095. BNB held up comparatively well, down 3.9% on the day but still up 1.1% over the prior seven days — continuing its pattern of relative resilience during broad market weakness. What triggered the move: a global bond market rout The catalyst was a simultaneous deterioration in bond markets across multiple major economies. US 10-year Treasury yields topped 4.5%, extending the week's sharp climb. Japan's 30-year debt hit 4% for the first time on record. UK long-bond rates touched a 28-year high. The dollar extended its weekly gain. Brent crude settled above $105, driven by the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz — which handles one-fifth of global oil trade — and continued escalation in the US-Iran conflict. Traditional markets reflected the same pressure. The S&P 500 fell 1.2% in its worst session since March, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropping 4% after weeks of leading the equity rally — a particularly significant reversal given that semiconductor strength had been one of the primary narratives supporting both equity and crypto risk appetite since April. The inflation throughline The common thread running through every element of Saturday's selloff is inflation. Back-to-back hot CPI and PPI prints earlier in the week — CPI rising 3.8% year-over-year and PPI posting its largest annual increase since 2022 — established that price pressures are re-accelerating rather than stabilizing. Oil above $105, driven by geopolitical supply disruption rather than demand growth, feeds directly into both headline inflation and consumer costs in ways that are difficult for central banks to look through. The cumulative effect has been a dramatic and rapid repricing of Federal Reserve expectations. Traders have shifted from pricing in rate cuts through 2026 to assigning nearly 50% odds of at least one rate hike by year-end — a complete reversal from the prevailing consensus of just two weeks ago. Crypto, which had been pricing in liquidity easing through 2026 as a core part of its bull thesis, is now repricing the opposite scenario in real time. What comes next The critical question heading into the following week is whether the inflation and bond yield trajectory stabilizes or continues to accelerate. If oil remains above $100 and bond yields keep climbing, the Fed rate hike narrative will gain further traction — removing the macro tailwind that has underpinned Bitcoin's recovery from its April lows. Bitcoin's near-term support sits around $78,000 to $79,000, with CryptoQuant having previously identified $70,000 — the aggregate cost basis of the market — as the deeper support level if the current weakness extends. A recovery back above $82,000 and the 200-day moving average would require either a reversal in bond yields or a fresh crypto-specific catalyst strong enough to overcome the macro headwind — neither of which appears imminent heading into the weekend.

FIFA has finalized a $60 million broadcast agreement with China Media Group for the 2026 World Cup. According to NS3.AI, this deal is significantly lower than FIFA's initial asking price of $250–$300 million.

XRP jumped 5% and briefly broke above $1.50 on Thursday after the Senate Banking Committee advanced the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act in a 15-9 vote — outperforming Bitcoin and Ether, which each gained less than 3% for the week. The move revived one of crypto's most durable narratives: that regulatory clarity could unlock a wave of institutional capital into XRP products that years of legal uncertainty had kept on the sidelines.But the committee vote is one step in a long process. The full bull run that XRP traders have been anticipating still needs Congress to finish what it started.Why XRP reacted most to a broad industry billFew major crypto assets have been as directly shaped by US regulatory uncertainty as XRP. The SEC's lawsuit against Ripple in December 2020 triggered exchange suspensions, institutional hesitation, and years of legal ambiguity around whether XRP could trade freely in US markets. A 2023 ruling by Judge Analisa Torres helped clear secondary-market XRP trading from being classified as securities transactions — a partial victory that allowed XRP to recover meaningfully — but it left open the question that large institutional allocators care most about: federal legislation that is harder for a future regulator to reinterpret.The CLARITY Act addresses that directly. The bill would place digital assets under a defined market-structure regime, giving institutions a cleaner framework for custody, trading, market making, and ETF allocation. For XRP specifically, that framework removes the last significant legal friction point preventing large allocators from building meaningful positions through regulated vehicles.Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse called the committee vote "the moment" in a post on X, writing that the industry deserves "the same rules and protections as every other asset class."What the bill still needs to become lawThe Senate Banking Committee's 15-9 vote is a meaningful procedural milestone, but several hurdles remain before the CLARITY Act becomes the legal clarity the market is pricing. The Senate Banking Committee version must first be merged with the Agriculture Committee version of the bill. The combined legislation then needs to pass a full Senate vote, survive House reconciliation, and reach the president's desk for signature.Senator Cynthia Lummis has said lawmakers have reached agreement on most of the bill's substance. Senator Elizabeth Warren has objected to parts of the process. The Memorial Day recess creates a practical near-term deadline for the current legislative push — progress needs to be made before the recess or momentum risks stalling into the summer.XRP's fundamental case: tokenization, DeFi, and ETF inflowsThe regulatory catalyst is landing against a backdrop of genuine fundamental progress on the XRP Ledger that gives institutional optimism something concrete to point to.Tokenized real-world assets on the XRP Ledger have crossed $3 billion, placing it among the leading non-Ethereum networks for institutional tokenization. Last week, a Ripple-JPMorgan-Mastercard-Ondo Finance pilot processed a tokenized US Treasury redemption in under five seconds — demonstrating that the chain can bridge public blockchain rails with traditional interbank settlement at the speed institutions require. Ripple also recently closed a $200 million debt facility for its Ripple Prime brokerage platform, signaling continued expansion of its institutional services infrastructure.The broader DeFi ecosystem built around XRP through bridged representations has grown to over $560 million in combined value locked. US-listed spot XRP ETFs drew $25.8 million in net inflows earlier this week — their largest single-day haul since early January — bringing cumulative inflows to $1.35 billion.Alexis Sirkia, early Ripple and Ethereum market maker and current head of decentralized clearing firm Yellow Network, framed the longer-term significance of these developments. "The real story of XRP in mid-2026 will not be its consolidating price, but the quiet, almost imperceptible rewiring of global finance," he told CoinDesk. "With legal clouds lifted and institutional capital proving remarkably sticky, the XRP Ledger is transforming into a compliance-grade tokenization and settlement layer, speaking the precise language that institutional capital does."The level that matters: $1.50Despite the week's gains, XRP remains well below its 2025 highs, and the $1.50 area continues to act as the resistance level bulls need to decisively reclaim and hold. The committee vote gave XRP enough momentum to push briefly above that level, but Friday's broad market selloff — triggered by surging bond yields and the fastest repricing of Fed rate expectations in years — pulled it back below the key zone.The technical picture reflects the broader narrative precisely. XRP has the catalysts, the fundamental momentum, and now a concrete legislative step in its favor. What it does not yet have is the full legal clarity that would remove the last layer of institutional hesitation and drive the kind of sustained, deep-pocketed inflows that could push it back toward and beyond its prior highs.The committee vote gave XRP a catalyst. Full legal clarity remains the trade.

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