According to PANews, Citigroup has revised its target price for MicroStrategy, reducing it from $485 to $325 per share. Despite this adjustment, the firm maintains a buy rating on the company's stock, as reported by Walter Bloomberg.

According to ChainCatcher, data from Coinglass indicates that if Bitcoin's price falls below $85,425, the cumulative liquidation intensity of long positions on major centralized exchanges could reach $1.653 billion. Conversely, if Bitcoin surpasses $94,065, the cumulative liquidation intensity of short positions on these exchanges could amount to $1.025 billion.

According to ChainCatcher, a study by prediction market platform Kalshi, reported by CoinDesk, has found that prediction markets have outperformed Wall Street consensus expectations in forecasting inflation. Over a 25-month period, the average error of prediction markets was 40% lower than that of consensus forecasts. The study highlights the advantage of prediction markets in aggregating diverse information from numerous traders motivated by economic incentives, creating a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect. This allows for more responsive adjustments to changing environments. The findings suggest that market-based predictions can serve as valuable supplementary tools for institutional decision-makers, particularly during periods of high uncertainty. Kalshi's comparison of its platform's inflation forecasts with Wall Street consensus expectations revealed that market-based traders demonstrated higher accuracy than traditional economists and analysts over the 25-month observation period. This advantage was especially pronounced during times of economic volatility. Specifically, the study found that from February 2023 to mid-2025, prediction markets' estimates of year-over-year changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) had an average error 40% lower than consensus forecasts. When actual data significantly deviated from expectations, the advantage of prediction markets became more evident, with accuracy exceeding consensus expectations by up to 67%.

Kalshi 研究报告显示，在过去 25 个月时间里，预测市场在预测通胀方面优于华尔街，基于市场对消费者价格指数（CPI）同比变化的预测，在 2023 年 2 月至 2025 年年中期间，平均误差比市场普遍预期低 40%。当实际值与预期值出现较大偏差时，这种差异更为显著。预测市场的优势在于汇集了众多交易者基于经济激励的多样化信息，形成了一种 “群体智慧 ”效应，从而对变化的环境能做出更灵敏的反应，这些发现表明基于市场的预测可以成为机构决策者宝贵的补充性工具，尤其是在不确定性较高的时期。（CoinDesk）

According to ChainCatcher, data from Arkham indicates that at 21:44, a total of 30 million POL tokens were transferred from an anonymous address beginning with 0x3fAA to GSR Markets.

Layer 1 区块链 Flare 宣布与提供收益保管库基础设施的 DeFi 平台 Upshift Finance、链上风险管理公司 Clearstar 联合推出 XRP 收益产品 earnXRP，允许用户将FXRP（Flare 上 XRP 的封装版本）存入一个单一的金库，该金库会将资金部署到各种链上策略中，以 XRP 计价产生收益。（The Block）

Yala is currently building toward a future where fair-value AI agents form the probabilistic backbone of global prediction markets, enabling agents, markets, and users to coordinate on accurate, verifiable fair-value signals.   To that end, Yala 2. 0 was launched on December 15, 2025, and according to an official blog, its main purpose is to provide what […] source: https://www.cryptopolitan.com/yala-2-0-sets-sights-on-global-prediction-markets-with-ai-native-fair-value-agent/

From Wall Street to Washington, Bitcoin reached new heights in 2025, despite tensions flaring over changes to the network's codebase. source: https://decrypt.co/351200/year-bitcoin-2025-breaking-records-governments-wall-street-take-interest

Grayscale projected that tokenized assets could explode 1000x by 2030. source: https://ambcrypto.com/moonpay-president-warns-banks-cant-freeze-progress-on-tokenization/

Wingtech’s chairwoman Ruby Yang on Monday warned that the global AI chip and semiconductor supply chain is now under direct threat because of the ongoing dispute over its control of Nexperia. According to Bloomberg, Ruby said China believes this legal freeze by the Dutch government is pushing the entire industry closer to a production breakdown […] source: https://www.cryptopolitan.com/china-nexperia-global-chips-supply-wingtech/

金色财经推出《金色Web3.0日报》，为您提供最新、最快的MEME、DeFi、DAO、NFT和元宇宙行业新闻。

美国金融体系是否真的开始把区块链当作“内部工具”，有一个信号比任何表态都更直接——清算和结算系统是否愿意使用它。

Web3.0商业模式落地不及预期：Web3.0相关基础设施和项目处于发展初期，存在商业模式落地不及预期的风险。

这是一次市场结构的根本性转变，而大多数人还在用旧周期的逻辑看新时代。

今日晚间推荐阅读：1.回望2025：年内加密攻击大盘点 附朝鲜黑客年内“光辉战绩”；2.Coinbase：2026年加密市场展望；3.比特币2026年展望：从数据指标到三大情景预判；

美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）的声明不会让芝加哥商品交易所（CME）明天就变成一家成熟的现货加密货币交易所。

Hong Kong’s insurance regulator plans to allow insurers to hold cryptocurrencies and stablecoins, with strict capital rules. The proposal also offers incentives for insurers investing in local infrastructure projects.

The Marshall Islands have begun testing a crypto-based universal income system, distributing payments to citizens through a yield-generating digital token built on the Stellar blockchain.

当我们试图用文明的商业逻辑去解释埃塞俄比亚的铁幕与肯尼亚的深渊时，往往忽略了地表之下更深层、更令人不安的世界。

回顾 2025 年实际走势，价格点位预测普遍高估了上涨强度与持续性，而监管与产业结构相关的判断相对更容易兑现。