Foresight News posted on X (formerly Twitter). On January 23, River announced the completion of a $12 million strategic funding round, with public support from CryptoHayes. Interestingly, shortly after the announcement, the price of RIVER peaked and then began to decline. CoinGlass has previously used RIVER as an example to discuss how funding rates can be manipulated to influence price fluctuations, highlighting that this pattern has been observed in multiple tokens over the past two years. They emphasize that many traders misunderstand funding rates, which do not provide directional signals but rather indicate the imbalance between long and short positions, showing which side of the market is more crowded. The first step involves suppressing the price while pushing the funding rate into a deeply negative territory. This results in a concentration of short positions, creating a market consensus that a negative funding rate signals an impending rebound. In the second step, some traders are induced to go long during the deeply negative funding rate phase, motivated by the expectation of a rebound and the desire to receive funding rate payments. This expectation is described as part of a trap. CoinGlass argues that during extreme negative funding rates, prices do not need to undergo a trend reversal. A controlled upward push in the market can trigger a chain reaction among short positions, including liquidations, stop-losses, and passive covering.

LPL Financial's Chief Fixed Income Strategist Lawrence Gillum and Chief Economist Jeffrey Roach have highlighted the significance of the U.S. Treasury's Quarterly Refinancing Announcement (QRA) during atypical periods. According to Jin10, they noted that in most quarters, the QRA typically confirms existing market expectations. The Treasury usually adjusts auction sizes gradually and incrementally, providing signals well in advance. For instance, increasing the auction size of 10-year Treasury bonds by $1 billion to $2 billion rarely impacts the market significantly, as such changes are either anticipated or too minor to fundamentally alter the supply-demand balance. However, the experts emphasized that during unconventional times or when borrowing plans deviate from market expectations, the QRA becomes crucial. The U.S. Treasury is scheduled to release a new round of quarterly refinancing announcements on Wednesday, February 4, 2026.

On February 3, Barclays highlighted that since 1930, the S&P 500 Index has typically seen an average decline of about 16% within six months of a new Federal Reserve Chair taking office. According to BlockBeats, this drop is notably higher than usual market corrections. If Kevin Warsh assumes the role in May, U.S. stocks may face renewed pressure. The report suggests that new chairs often encounter market 'tests' shortly after their appointment. Following U.S. President Donald Trump's nomination of Warsh to replace Powell, the stock market has already experienced a downturn, with investors perceiving Warsh as not being a dovish candidate. Analysts believe that amid controversies over the Federal Reserve's independence, high inflation, and slowing employment, a leadership change could heighten uncertainty in monetary policy. If Warsh advocates for balance sheet reduction, it might further drain liquidity and negatively impact risk assets. However, his hawkish stance on the balance sheet could help suppress gold prices and temporarily support the dollar.

New York gold futures broke through $4,900 per ounce, rising 5.34% on the day. (Jinshi)

ING Deutschland has opened retail access to cryptocurrency-linked ETNs, allowing customers to gain exposure to Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana. source: https://cryptonews.com/news/german-bank-ing-deutschland-opens-retail-access-to-crypto-linked-etns/

Market risk appetite recovered broadly on Tuesday as global markets stabilized and concerns about artificial intelligence spending eased. Japanese and South Korean stocks rebounded sharply from the previous day. South Korea's KOSPI index closed up 6.84% at 5288.08 points. Chipmakers Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix were the biggest drivers. Samsung's stock price rose as much as 10% intraday, marking its biggest single-day gain since March 2020. Japan's Nikkei 225 index closed up 3.92% at 54720.66 points, a record high. Taiwan's Weighted Index closed up 1.81% at 32195.36 points. (Jinshi)

The battle to become the blockchain's first platform to integrate an emerging AI agent economy is heating up — with MultiversX, making the first blow move.

Igor Runets, the founder and chief executive of BitRiver, has been placed under house arrest in Moscow on multiple charges of tax evasion, as Russia’s largest Bitcoin mining company enters a deep financial and legal crisis. source: https://www.ethnews.com/russian-crypto-mining-giant-bitriver-collapses-as-founder-faces-house-arrest/

미국에 본사를 둔 암호화폐 거래소 코인베이스는 제품 및 자산 다양성을 확대하기 위한 조치를 지속적으로 취하고 있습니다. 계속 읽어보세요: 비트코인 거래소 코인베이스가 상장 로드맵에 알트코인 두 개를 추가했다고 발표했습니다! 자세한 내용은 다음과 같습니다 source: https://kr.bitcoinsistemi.com/bitcoin-exchange-coinbase-announced-it-has-added-two-altcoins-to-its-listing-roadmap-here-are-the-details/

US-based cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase continues to take steps to increase its product and asset diversity. Continue Reading: Bitcoin Exchange Coinbase Announces Adding Two Altcoins to its Listing Roadmap! Here Are the Details source: https://en.bitcoinsistemi.com/bitcoin-exchange-coinbase-announces-adding-two-altcoins-to-its-listing-roadmap-here-are-the-details/

OpenAI may use World’s eye-scanning Orb and Apple Face ID to ensure only humans join its planned social network, aiming to block bots. source: https://catenaa.com/industries/technology/openai-may-use-eye-scanning-tech-to-build-humans-only-social-network/

Prediction markets are not a new concept; they achieve decentralization, and infrastructure and regulation unlock market potential, while uncertainty is becoming a key asset class in the financial market.

Trump, Walsh, Musk, Peter Thiel, Michael Celler, Brock Pierce, Gary Gensler...

Elon Musk, SpaceX, XAI, Artificial Intelligence: A SpaceX Investor's Perspective on the XAI Acquisition (Golden Finance) - Never doubt Musk's storytelling ability.

Prediction markets are not new; they have simply become decentralized, with infrastructure and regulation unlocking their potential, and uncertainty is becoming a financial asset class.

Nomura tightened risk controls at its crypto unit, Laser Digital, after trading losses at the business helped drive a 9.7% drop in fiscal third-quarter profit. The move followed a sharp crypto market crash after bitcoin’s October record high, which hit the unit’s trading positions.

The bad news is: we've been in a cryptocurrency winter since January 2025. The good news is: we're likely nearing the end of the winter, not the beginning.

A familiar chill is creeping back into the crypto markets. Trading screens are quieter, order books are thinning, and the stocks of major crypto exchanges are sliding sharply — evoking memories of past Bitcoin winters that followed periods of intense speculation.

On Monday local time, White House officials met with leaders of the crypto industry and major banking groups in an attempt to ease a key regulatory controversy over stablecoin holding yields.

In this vast arena of fame and fortune, candlestick charts are drawn for retail investors, while the real transactions are already written in the ballots.