The growth of the U.S. prediction market is reportedly built on an unstable foundation, primarily benefiting from regulatory arbitrage opportunities. According to Odaily, the lack of comprehensive regulations across various states allows users to engage in sports betting through prediction markets. Data from Dune Analytics indicates that by 2025, sports-related transactions will account for approximately 85% of Kalshi's trading volume and about 39% for Polymarket. Devin Ryan, Head of Financial Technology Research at Citizens Bank, suggests that the market requires robust integrity rules and an increase in non-sports market trading volumes. Currently, the market size for predicting January's CPI inflation data on Kalshi is under $1 million, and the core inflation prediction market is less than $30,000, which is insufficient liquidity to attract institutional participation. Furthermore, the U.S. prediction market is experiencing a 'fragile prosperity,' with growth heavily reliant on regulatory gray areas and substantial marketing investments. Should regulations tighten or user interest wane, growth could face significant pressure. There is also regulatory contention, as prediction markets often claim to be event contract trading under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), while state regulators adopt a more cautious stance. These legal disputes may ultimately require a Supreme Court decision.

BRICS has significantly increased its membership and influence, now accounting for 35-40% of the global GDP and nearly half of the world's population. According to NS3.AI, the bloc is developing alternative financial systems, such as the gold-backed BRICS Unit currency and BRICS Pay, to lessen reliance on the U.S. dollar. Despite facing internal disagreements, notably from India, and external challenges like trade tariff threats, BRICS is enhancing its economic and geopolitical importance.

X product lead and Solana advisor Nikita Bier announced plans to integrate video editing features similar to other social applications within X. According to PANews, Bier anticipates a development cycle of approximately three months for this project. However, he managed to create a complete browser-based video editor prototype in just 15 minutes using new tools, which led him to believe that AI tools could soon replace some functions of traditional software suites like Adobe. Bier also forecasts a significant decline in the demand for manual video editing in the coming months as AI technology advances. He highlighted the challenges faced by product developers due to rapid changes in technological capabilities and user behavior, making it increasingly difficult for companies to accurately predict product forms and demand structures in the near future.

Robert Kiyosaki, author of 'Rich Dad Poor Dad,' addressed criticism on the X platform regarding his previous statement about ceasing to accumulate silver at $60, Bitcoin at $6,000, and gold at $300. According to Odaily, Kiyosaki clarified that he is aware of his Bitcoin purchase cost, approximately $6,000, but does not focus on the exact purchase date. He criticized those questioning the authenticity of his statements based on the timing of his investments. Kiyosaki further questioned the motives of community members overly concerned with purchase dates, emphasizing his focus on asset price ranges and long-term value. He stated that if Bitcoin's price falls back to $6,000, he plans to continue buying without regard to the specific purchase time. He also revealed his current intention to increase his gold holdings, prioritizing asset allocation results, such as the quantities of Bitcoin, gold, silver, and Ethereum he holds, over the exact acquisition times. Kiyosaki advised investors to avoid associating with those who focus excessively on acquisition dates at the expense of asset value and price, advocating for an investment mindset oriented towards long-term value.

Samsung Electronics is set to begin shipping its next-generation high-bandwidth memory, HBM4, following the Lunar New Year holiday. According to Jin10, industry insiders revealed that Samsung plans to start deliveries to NVIDIA as early as the third week of February. The HBM4 memory will be used in NVIDIA's upcoming AI accelerator platform, Vera Rubin. NVIDIA is expected to showcase the Vera Rubin product featuring Samsung's HBM4 at the NVIDIA GTC 2026 conference next month.

Forward Industries (FWDI) holds the largest public SOL treasury, now facing a $1B paper loss as shares fall 87% from peak. source: https://coincu.com/crypto/solana-giant-fwdi-sits-on-1b-paper-loss/

According to Arkham's monitoring, about eight hours ago, a newly created wallet withdrew a total of 16.97 million Meteora (MET) from Binance in two separate transactions, worth approximately $3.7 million.

Qatar is reportedly teaming up with Microsoft to build artificial intelligence systems that would cater to government services. source: https://www.cryptopolitan.com/qatar-taps-microsoft-to-build-ai-systems/

Spot investors and traders aren’t on the same page right now. source: https://ambcrypto.com/solana-why-etf-money-is-still-coming-despite-sols-price-action/

Analysis indicates that the boom in the US prediction market is built on an unstable foundation, primarily benefiting from regulatory arbitrage opportunities. For example, currently, US states lack comprehensive regulations to oversee user participation in sports betting through prediction markets. Dune Analytics data shows that in 2025, sports-related transactions will account for approximately 85% of Kalshi's trading volume, while Polymarket's will account for approximately 39%. Devin Ryan, Head of Financial Technology Research at Citizens Bank, believes the market needs to establish robust integrity rules, and trading volume in non-sports markets needs to increase. Currently, the market size for predicting January CPI inflation data on Kalshi is less than $1 million, and the market size for predicting core inflation is less than $30,000. Such liquidity is insufficient to attract institutional participation. Furthermore, the US prediction market currently exhibits a "fragile boom," with growth relying heavily on regulatory gray areas and substantial marketing investment. Growth could be pressured if regulations tighten or user interest declines. There is also some bargaining at the regulatory level. For instance, US prediction markets typically claim to be event-driven contracts regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), but state-level regulators are more cautious, and related legal disputes may ultimately reach the Supreme Court. (Business Insider)

Analysis firms estimate that the United States currently holds approximately 328,000 Bitcoins, worth $23 billion.

On February 6, 2026, the People's Bank of China, together with eight other departments, issued document No. 42 of 2026. The market has already provided many interpretations of this document. This article aims to provide a more in-depth analysis by combining RWA with the current state of the on-chain market.

"Positively correlated Bitcoin" may be the truly important direction for the future, as Bitcoin will rise when interest rates increase.

Scams, projects, investments: 12 newly compiled Ponzi schemes that have collapsed or are about to collapse (Golden Finance). Beware.

The fragility of traditional financial margin rules is the antifragility of Bitcoin.

Kyle Samani, considered by many to be one of Solana's most steadfast evangelists, announced that he will step down from the day-to-day management of Multicoin, stating that he will focus his efforts on emerging technologies such as AI, robotics, and life sciences, while retaining his personal crypto investments.

There's a current trend of claiming that "non-financial use cases for cryptocurrency are dead." Some even assert that "read-write-own" has failed. These conclusions misunderstand our core argument and misjudge the stage we're in.

This week, 18 blockchain startups completed funding rounds, raising a total of $278.9 million. Anchorage Digital raised $100 million in a strategic funding round, the largest single funding round this week.

On February 6, 2026, the People's Bank of China and eight other ministries issued the "Notice on Further Preventing and Handling Risks Related to Virtual Currency" (Yinfa [2026] No. 42, hereinafter referred to as "Document No. 42").

Jinse Finance launches its daily cryptocurrency and blockchain news bulletin, "Jinse at 8 AM," issue 2961, providing you with the latest and fastest news on the digital currency and blockchain industry.