Kalshi reported a historic trading volume exceeding $9.5 billion in January, marking a 55% increase from December's $6.15 billion. According to NS3.AI, this surge sets a new monthly record for the platform. If this growth persists, the platform expects to surpass $100 billion in annual trading volume.

U.S. President Donald Trump has accused Harvard University of harboring a longstanding tendency towards anti-Semitism. According to Jin10, Trump also criticized The New York Times, describing it as a declining publication that spreads baseless information. The President's comments reflect ongoing tensions between his administration and certain academic and media institutions.

Indonesia's trade surplus outlook is increasingly at risk due to slowing economic growth and escalating trade tensions, according to economists Enrico Tanuwidjaja and Vincentius Ming Shen from UOB. They suggest that the demand, which was prematurely exhausted last year, may gradually diminish by the beginning of 2026. According to Jin10, while the comprehensive economic partnership agreement with the European Union offers some diversification support, broader trade partnerships and further downstream industrialization are crucial for maintaining the surplus momentum. UOB forecasts that Indonesia's trade surplus will narrow from $41 billion in 2025 to approximately $35 billion this year, as export growth slows and capital goods imports continue.

According to the announcement from Binance, the platform has introduced the February Monthly Challenge for Dual Investment users, offering rewards of up to 5,888 USDC and an additional 3,000 USDC. The promotion runs from 2026-02-03 02:00 (UTC) to 2026-02-28 23:59 (UTC). **Promotion A: Monthly Leaderboard** Participants in the Dual Investment program will be ranked based on their average subscription amount during the promotion period. To qualify, the subscription period must exceed seven days. The top 100 users will receive rewards, with the first place earning 5,888 USDC. Other rewards include 2,188 USDC for second and third places, 1,088 USDC for fourth and fifth places, and decreasing amounts for subsequent ranks down to 68 USDC for those ranked 71st to 100th. **Promotion B: Additional Subscription Rewards** Users who subscribe to an average Dual Investment amount exceeding $5,000,000 will receive an additional 100 USDC for every extra $100,000 subscribed. The subscription period must also be more than seven days. For example, if a user's average subscription is $5,500,000, they will receive 500 USDC as a reward. The maximum reward cap per user is 3,000 USDC. Rewards from both promotions can be earned simultaneously. **About Dual Investment** Dual Investment is a structured product allowing users to buy or sell cryptocurrency at a future price and date while earning rewards. It supports tokens like BTC, ETH, SOL, and BNB, with an annual percentage rate (APR) of 15% or more. Users must complete identity verification to participate, and rewards will be distributed within 14 days after the promotion ends. Binance reserves the right to amend terms and conditions at its discretion.

The Singapore dollar experienced a slight increase against the U.S. dollar during the Asian trading session, driven by improved risk sentiment following a trade agreement between the United States and India. According to Jin10, U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Monday that the U.S. has agreed to reduce tariffs on India to 18%, down from the 25% imposed last year. Two foreign exchange strategists from OCBC Bank's research division noted in a report that if risk sentiment continues to stabilize and the U.S. dollar's upward trend slows, the recent rise of the U.S. dollar against the Singapore dollar is expected to level off. The strategists added that the currency pair is likely to consolidate within the range of 1.2680 to 1.2760. Data from LSEG indicated that the U.S. dollar fell by 0.1% against the Singapore dollar, trading at 1.2710.

On February 3, the Indian rupee strengthened against the U.S. dollar during the Asian morning trading session, buoyed by the U.S.-India trade agreement. According to Jin10, U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Monday that the United States has agreed to reduce tariffs on India to 18%. Lloyd Chan from Mitsubishi UFJ Bank noted in a research report that the agreement marks a significant easing of bilateral tariff tensions, representing an important realignment after months of strained trade relations. The senior currency analyst added that the offshore rupee's strength against the dollar reflects investor relief as major unresolved risks facing Indian exports have been alleviated. LSEG data shows the dollar fell 1.0% against the Indian rupee to 90.32, after hitting an intraday low of 90.25, the lowest level since January 15.

JPMorgan analysts have projected that South Korea's benchmark Kospi Index could reach 7,500 points by 2026, following its breakthrough of the 5,000-point mark in January. According to Jin10, the analysts have set the index's baseline target for this year at 6,000 points, with a bullish target of 7,500 points. They attribute the anticipated growth to rising chip prices, which have led to significant gains for major stocks like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. These two stocks are expected to have a potential increase of 45% to 50% by 2026. Additionally, JPMorgan forecasts that the earnings per share in other non-memory industrial sectors will grow by approximately 20%. Ongoing corporate governance, market, and tax reforms in South Korea are also expected to act as additional catalysts for this growth.

Elon Musk, SpaceX, XAI, Artificial Intelligence: A SpaceX Investor's Perspective on the XAI Acquisition (Golden Finance) - Never doubt Musk's storytelling ability.

Short Bitcoin funds attracted $14. 5 million in inflows as investors hedge against falling prices. source: https://cryptopotato.com/digital-assets-lose-73b-since-october-2025-highs-coinshares-finds/

South Korea’s consumer and core inflation slowed to 2% in January, matching the central bank’s target. source: https://www.cryptopolitan.com/koreas-consumer-inflation-has-slowed/

XRP spot ETFs saw varied financial movements on February 2, Eastern Time, according to SoSoValue data. According to Odaily, the 21Shares XRP ETF TOXR experienced a net outflow of $950,000 in a single day, bringing its historical total net outflow to $530 million. Meanwhile, the Bitwise XRP ETF recorded a net inflow of $540,000, with its historical total net inflow reaching $338 million. As of the time of reporting, the total net asset value of XRP spot ETFs stands at $1.11 billion, with an XRP net asset ratio of 1.13%. The historical cumulative net inflow has reached $1.18 billion.

Prediction markets are not new; they have simply become decentralized, with infrastructure and regulation unlocking their potential, and uncertainty is becoming a financial asset class.

Nomura tightened risk controls at its crypto unit, Laser Digital, after trading losses at the business helped drive a 9.7% drop in fiscal third-quarter profit. The move followed a sharp crypto market crash after bitcoin’s October record high, which hit the unit’s trading positions.

The bad news is: we've been in a cryptocurrency winter since January 2025. The good news is: we're likely nearing the end of the winter, not the beginning.

A familiar chill is creeping back into the crypto markets. Trading screens are quieter, order books are thinning, and the stocks of major crypto exchanges are sliding sharply — evoking memories of past Bitcoin winters that followed periods of intense speculation.

On Monday local time, White House officials met with leaders of the crypto industry and major banking groups in an attempt to ease a key regulatory controversy over stablecoin holding yields.

In this vast arena of fame and fortune, candlestick charts are drawn for retail investors, while the real transactions are already written in the ballots.

Warsh's hawkish stance on inflation stemmed primarily from widespread concerns during the QE era after 2008, but the environment has since changed. Judging from his recent statements, expecting Warsh to be hawkish is unfounded.

The U.S. economy is facing a national crisis, but it is not the kind of crisis we've seen before. Unlike the persistent risk of high inflation caused by runaway government spending, the U.S. economy is being devoured by an expansionary deflationary force.

A former xAI engineer revealed that Musk is pushing forward with the "Macro Hard" project, which involves renting the idle onboard computers of approximately 4 million Tesla vehicles in North America to conduct distributed training of "human simulator" AI that can replace white-collar jobs.