Polymarket data indicates a significant increase in the probability of Pakistan hosting the next U.S.-Iran diplomatic meeting, with odds rising to 59% this morning, marking a 21% increase over the past 24 hours. According to Odaily, U.S. President Donald Trump announced that indirect negotiations with Iran are progressing well through a 'special envoy' in Pakistan. Odaily Seer continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing.

The NCAA East Regional Final witnessed the University of Connecticut's thrilling 73-72 victory over Duke University, securing their place in the Final Four. According to Odaily, Polymarket's real-time probability data indicates a significant 9% increase in UConn's championship odds over the past 24 hours, currently standing at 14% and ranking fourth. Meanwhile, the University of Arizona's championship probability rose by 8% to 35%, placing them first. The University of Michigan saw an 11% increase, also reporting a 35% chance and ranking second. The University of Illinois experienced a 3% decrease, with their odds now at 18%, ranking third. The NCAA's 'March Madness' refers to the National Championship of the NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament. This event typically begins in March, featuring a single-elimination format with intense competition.

A senior Iranian security official has indicated that Tehran will decide when the ongoing conflict will end, suggesting Iran is prepared to maintain its offensive for an extended period. According to Ming Pao, this statement counters the U.S. assessment that the conflict might conclude within weeks. The remarks underscore Iran's strategic position and its readiness to prolong the engagement, challenging U.S. perspectives on the timeline of the war.

Hong Kong's ADRs experienced a decline of 11 points, or 0.05%, closing at 24,940 points following a downturn in the U.S. stock market. According to Ming Pao, the night futures also saw a decrease, falling by 221 points, or 0.89%, to settle at 24,630 points, with a discount of 322 points.

Private-credit fund managers are increasingly downplaying their investments in software amid growing concerns about the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on the industry. Wall Street Journal (Markets) posted on X that this shift comes as AI technologies continue to evolve, raising questions about the future viability of certain software investments. The analysis highlights that fund managers are becoming cautious, reassessing their portfolios to mitigate potential risks associated with AI advancements. This trend reflects broader apprehensions in the financial sector about how AI could disrupt traditional software markets. As AI continues to develop, its potential to replace or significantly alter existing software solutions is prompting fund managers to reconsider their strategies. The move underscores the need for adaptability in investment approaches as technological innovations reshape industries. The report suggests that while AI presents opportunities for growth, it also poses challenges that require careful navigation by investors. Fund managers are thus balancing the promise of AI-driven advancements with the uncertainties they bring to the software sector.

Odaily Seer's monitoring shows that in Polymarket's prediction event of "Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting be held?", the probability of Pakistan's participation surged to 59% this morning, a 21% increase in the past 24 hours. Earlier today, news broke that Trump stated he had begun indirect negotiations with Iran through a Pakistani "envoy," and that progress was going well. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced in.

A notable betting event has emerged in the Polymarket prediction market surrounding the NBA regular season game between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the New York Knicks. According to Odaily, an account with profits exceeding $2.2 million has invested $100,000 on the Thunder defeating the Knicks, with an opening price of 77¢, which has now adjusted to 72¢. The game commenced at 7:30 AM UTC+8 and is currently at halftime, with the Thunder leading by one point, 53-52. Odaily continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing.

Polymarket built its user base by incentivizing traders to inject liquidity into the market during its free era, but in the era of charging fees, it must justify its pricing strategy. The effectiveness of Polymarket's fee decisions remains to be seen.

On Sunday, local time, Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One that Iran had "met most" of the 15 ceasefire demands previously made to Tehran by the United States, although it remains unclear whether the two sides are actually engaged in substantive negotiations. He stated, "They've met most of our points. Why wouldn't they? We'll make a few more demands." However, he declined to specify what concessions Iran had made. Publicly, Iran has explicitly rejected the list of 15 ceasefire conditions and has instead put forward its own five preconditions—including complete control over the Strait of Hormuz. This weekend, officials from Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey met in an attempt to find a way out of the conflict, but there are currently no signs of substantial progress. Pakistan's Foreign Minister, after meeting with his counterparts from various countries, stated, "Both Iran and the United States have expressed their trust in Pakistan and their willingness for Pakistan to host subsequent negotiations." However, neither side indicated that they were prepared for direct dialogue. (Jin Shi)

The yield curve for Japanese government bonds (JGBs) has steepened as inflation fears continue to rise. Wall Street Journal (Markets) posted on X, highlighting the growing concerns among investors about potential inflationary pressures. This shift in the yield curve reflects the market's anticipation of higher interest rates in response to inflation. Analysts are closely monitoring the situation, as the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decisions could be influenced by these developments. The steepening of the yield curve is seen as a signal of changing economic conditions, prompting investors to reassess their strategies in the bond market.

According to the latest data from Gate, gold prices fell to $4,448.19 per ounce, a daily decrease of 0.99%. Silver prices fell to $68.664 per ounce, a daily decrease of 1.43%. The BVIX (BTC Volatility Index) is currently quoted at 54.48, a daily increase of 0.89%. The EVIX (ETH Volatility Index) is currently quoted at 74.79, a daily increase of 1.62%. In the foreign exchange market, the USD/CNH exchange rate remained unchanged at 6.91882. The USD/JPY exchange rate fell by 0.19% to 159.947. In global stock indices, the Euro Stoxx 50 fell 1.82% to 5,453.66 points; the UK FTSE 100 fell 0.52% to 9,891.67 points; and the German DAX 40 fell 0.22% to 22,051.58 points. In commodities, WTI crude oil rose 1.21% to $102.60 per barrel, while Brent crude oil rose 1.33% to $112.19 per barrel. Gate allows users to directly trade traditional financial market products on its platform, providing a one-stop solution for precious metals, forex, global equity CFDs, major indices, and commodities, achieving deep integration of crypto assets and traditional financial assets. Gate TradFi features have been fully integrated into the Gate App and Web platform, allowing users to easily participate in global asset price trading without switching platforms, unlocking more strategies and opportunities outside the crypto market, and continuously enhancing their diversified asset allocation experience.

Looking ahead, if the conflict in the Middle East continues or escalates, oil price and inflationary pressures will further solidify expectations of tightening, and pressure on the US Treasury market may intensify; conversely, if diplomatic efforts lead to easing tensions, the market may experience a phase of recovery.

Bitcoin has matured and has been accepted by larger pools of funds; its integration with the financial system is becoming increasingly close, and it is more sensitive to the macro environment.

What's truly worth discussing about AI payments isn't usually the word "payment." For most internet users, the experience might be: an app or AI assistant can handle your shopping needs directly when you express them in plain language.

Jinse Finance launches its cryptocurrency and blockchain industry daily news report, "Jinse 8 AM," issue 3011, providing you with the latest and fastest news on the digital currency and blockchain industry.

Bitcoin started as a niche project for cryptography enthusiasts, but it has now developed into a globally significant financial asset, held by numerous companies, individuals, and government agencies.

A recent figure that has astonished global financial markets has surfaced: the Central Bank of Turkey reduced its gold holdings by approximately 58.4 tons in just two weeks, worth over $8 billion. Specifically, it reduced its holdings by 6 tons in the week of March 13th and plummeted by 52.4 tons in the week of March 20th.

IBM has partnered with researchers to demonstrate the capabilities of quantum processors in materials modeling.

Investment, Artificial Intelligence, On-Chain Technology, Institutional Wave: AI Agents and On-Chain Credit: A Conversation with Legendary Investor Santiago Santos (Jinse Finance) - Unveiling the Truth Behind the Legendary Investor's "Tightening His Wages"

This week, 20 blockchain startups raised $809.7 million. Polymarket raised $600 million from the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) in a funding round, the largest of the week.