The probability of U.S. President Donald Trump announcing the end of military action against Iran by April 21 has significantly decreased to 21%, according to Odaily. This marks a 22% drop in the past 24 hours, with the total trading volume for this event contract nearing $17 million. The contract stipulates that if President Trump, the U.S. government, or the military officially announces the end of the military action initiated on February 28, 2026, by the specified date (Eastern Time), the market will resolve as 'yes.' Otherwise, it will resolve as 'no.' Valid statements must clearly indicate the end of the action. Informal statements, anonymous sources, or leaked information do not qualify. However, Trump's public written statements, such as posts on his "Truth Social" account, and videos on his social media accounts are considered valid. The primary basis for market resolution is official statements from the U.S. government and/or its representatives, with additional consideration given to consensus from other credible reports. On the first day of a temporary ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran, Israeli forces launched the largest airstrike against Hezbollah since the conflict began. Iran claimed this violated the ceasefire agreement, leading to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and threats of deterrent action against Israeli military targets. The White House announced that the first round of U.S.-Iran talks will take place on the 11th in Pakistan. However, Iran stated that three key ceasefire terms have been violated, undermining the "basis for negotiations." Despite this, Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister, Saeed Khatibzadeh, confirmed that the Iranian delegation will attend the talks in Islamabad, Pakistan.

Sky is set to repackage the assets backing its USDS and DAI stablecoins after receiving a B- credit rating from S&P Global Ratings in August. According to NS3.AI, Sam MacPherson, a representative from Sky, announced plans to introduce a junior risk capital vault, expected in the second quarter, to segregate higher-risk yield exposure. Additionally, Sky has decreased its exposure to Ethena's USDe in an effort to enhance the protocol's appeal to institutional investors.

Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire announced on the X platform that Circle has launched its custodial payment service, CPN Managed Payments, designed to provide a one-stop stablecoin payment solution for banks, payment service providers (PSPs), fintech companies, and large technology enterprises. The product supports payments between fiat currencies and between fiat currencies and stablecoins. Circle handles the wallet infrastructure, on-chain operations (such as minting and custody), and compliance and licensing, allowing institutions to integrate without building their own blockchain and digital asset processing capabilities. The relevant APIs and product details have also been released.

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, the probability of Polymarket's "Trump announcing the end of military action against Iran before April 21" has dropped sharply to 21%, a 22% decrease in 24 hours. As of now, the total trading volume of the "When will Trump announce the end of military action against Iran" event contract has reached nearly $17 million. The rules of this event contract are: if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announces that the military action against Iran launched on February 28, 2026, has ended before a specified date (Eastern Time), the market will mark it as "yes"; otherwise, the market will mark it as "no." A qualifying statement must clearly indicate that the action has ended. Informal statements, statements from anonymous sources, or leaked information are not eligible. Public written statements by Trump (e.g., posts on his personal "Truth Social" account) will be considered valid statements, as will videos posted on Trump's social media accounts. The market's primary basis for judgment is the official statement of the US government and/or its official representatives, but it also considers consensus from other credible reports. On the first day of the temporary ceasefire between the US and Iran, the Israeli military launched its largest airstrike against Hezbollah in Lebanon since the start of the conflict. Iran claimed that Hezbollah violated the ceasefire agreement, reopened the Strait of Hormuz, and threatened to take deterrent action against Israeli military targets. The White House announced that the first round of US-Iran talks would be held in Pakistan on the 11th, but Iran stated that three key clauses of its 10 ceasefire terms had been violated, undermining the "foundation for negotiations." However, Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Saeed Khatibzadeh recently stated that the Iranian delegation would travel to Islamabad, the capital of Pakistan, to participate in the negotiations. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing them in.

World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a crypto project co-founded by the Trump family, has sparked market concerns regarding insider trading, circular financing, and liquidity risks through multiple collateralized lending operations on the DeFi lending protocol Dolomite. Data shows that WLFI has lent out approximately $31.4 million in stablecoins, using its self-issued stablecoin USD1 and its platform token WLFI as collateral, and transferred some of these funds to Coinbase Prime, suspected of being used for fiat currency exchange or over-the-counter trading. Notably, Dolomite co-founder Corey Caplan also serves as an advisor to WLFI, and WLFI currently accounts for approximately 55% of the protocol's deposit liquidity, significantly increasing concentration risk. Furthermore, the USD1 pool utilization rate on Dolomite is as high as approximately 93%, meaning that ordinary depositors may not be able to withdraw their funds at any time, facing liquidity lock-up risks. Additionally, due to the limited market depth of the WLFI token, a price drop triggering liquidation could lead to a chain reaction of sell-offs and bad debt risks, ultimately borne by other depositors. On-chain data also shows that WLFI transferred approximately 3 billion tokens (worth about $266 million) to multiple addresses in early April, the destination of which is currently unclear. As of now, WLFI has not responded to these transactions. (CoinDesk)

Telegram founder Pavel Durov announced a major upgrade to the TON blockchain, significantly enhancing its processing speed. According to Foresight News, the upgrade has increased block generation rates by six times and achieved sub-second transaction confirmations. Durov stated that this is the first of seven steps in his 'Make TON Great Again' (MTONGA) plan. The next step aims to reduce the already relatively low transaction fees by approximately six times to further improve network performance and cost competitiveness.

Co-founder Ben Delo stated that he has donated approximately £4 million (about $5.1 million) to Reform UK since the beginning of this year to support the party's development into a "real alternative to governance." Delo did not disclose the form of the donation (fiat currency or crypto assets), but he also expressed support for the UK government's proposed moratorium on crypto-asset political donations, citing the high complexity of related regulations. According to the latest guidance from the UK Electoral Commission, crypto-asset donations are currently still permitted, but must be valued in pounds at the time of receipt and the donor's identity must be verified. The UK government had previously announced an immediate suspension of cryptocurrency political donations as part of its efforts to prevent foreign interference. Furthermore, in December 2025, another crypto-related investor, Christopher Harborne, also donated approximately £9 million to Reform UK. (CoinDesk)

Ben Delo has announced a donation of £4 million ($5.1 million) to Nigel Farage's Reform UK since the beginning of this year. According to NS3.AI, Delo stated that the funds are intended to aid in developing Reform UK into a viable alternative party of government. While the method of payment was not disclosed, the U.K. Electoral Commission's guidance indicates that cryptocurrency donations are still permissible under current legislation.

According to Gate data, WTI crude oil futures touched $102 per barrel, up 8.04% on the day.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that natural gas inventories for the week ending April 3 reached 50 billion cubic feet. According to Jin10, this figure surpassed the anticipated 46 billion cubic feet and the previous week's level of 36 billion cubic feet.

Zhao Changpeng, Binance, from selling his house to buy cryptocurrency to going to jail and publishing a book: CZ's self-defense and self-mythologizing. Golden Finance, believe it or not, but he certainly did a lot.

Jinse Finance launches the "Jinse Web3.0 Daily," providing you with the latest and fastest news on MEME, DeFi, DAO, NFT, and the metaverse industry.

On March 31, Binance announced that it will update the assessment trading pairs for the "Spot Altcoin Liquidity Enhancement Program" starting April 6, aiming to improve the liquidity and trading efficiency of some altcoin trading pairs in the spot market.

Can key trade still function without the traditional financial system?

Canton chose efficiency over freedom, and the organization also chose Canton.

The weaponization of sanctions is effective for countries deeply integrated into the global system, but it also leads long-term sanctioned adversaries to turn to parallel financial networks, and even turns them into force multipliers.

With the FOCIL mechanism, unless a regulatory body can enforce oversight of all nodes on the network, it is difficult for it to interfere with Ethereum's neutrality through transaction blocking.

The term MEV no longer accurately describes the current situation, and the author proposes to rename it "Transaction Ranking Value (TOV)".

可能有一天我们最终要被它用一种高深莫测、悲天悯人且不容置疑的中二语调告知：你已经被AI优化掉了。

He Yi, Binance, SEC, Binance's predicament. Jinse Finance's "Binance Life" provides a rare insider perspective.