A recent study has identified over 210,000 suspicious trades on Polymarket, resulting in $143 million in abnormal profits for traders with insider information between 2024 and 2026. According to NS3.AI, the authors of the study suggest that this figure is a conservative estimate, as the methodology used may include false positives and potentially overlook some instances of suspicious trading.

California Governor Gavin Newsom signed a law on the 27th prohibiting state officials appointed by the governor from profiting from insider information in prediction markets. The governor's office stated that some U.S. officials with apparent access to sensitive federal government information were making "extremely precise bets" in prediction markets. The statement also criticized some officials for turning public service into a means of "getting rich quick." The statement pointed out that four cases of prediction trading demonstrate that it is highly unlikely for someone lacking insider information to make such trades. The profits from these predictions ranged from tens of thousands to millions of dollars, involving multiple U.S. military actions related to Venezuela and Iran, with some predictions made just days before the actions took place or hours before. Six individuals suspected of having insider information bet on a U.S. military strike against Iran, profiting a total of $1.2 million, and they opened prediction market accounts just days before the conflict occurred. (Xinhua)

Iran’s Revolutionary Guards have announced that they targeted a U.S. support ship located at a considerable distance from Oman’s Salalah Port. According to Jin10, the incident highlights ongoing tensions in the region, with Iran asserting its military capabilities. The specifics of the operation and the implications for regional security remain unclear, but the announcement underscores the volatile nature of U.S.-Iran relations. The Revolutionary Guards did not provide further details on the engagement or the current status of the vessel involved.

PANews posted on X (formerly Twitter) that while attention remains on Bitcoin prices, three major Wall Street exchanges have quietly made a historic shift within 48 hours. The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Nasdaq, and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), which are pivotal to global capital markets, have simultaneously announced their respective tokenization upgrade plans. The move marks a significant step in the integration of blockchain technology into traditional financial systems, reflecting a growing trend towards digital asset adoption.

BitGo disclosed in its annual Form 10-K filing that it managed approximately $81.6 billion in digital assets as of December 31 last year. According to NS3.AI, Bitcoin constituted 49.2% of the assets under custody, while the top five assets made up 80.7% of the total holdings.

Researchers at Columbia Law School and the University of Haifa analyzed most of Polymarket's trading data between 2024 and 2026, finding over 210,000 suspicious trades that generated $143 million in profits for "informed" traders. Published this month, the study is the first to estimate the total profits of suspicious accounts. Researchers used five criteria related to trading timing and bet amount to screen accounts that made large bullish bets shortly before news releases. The study defined these actions as "informed" trading rather than "insider" trading because some of the flagged large trades occurred in markets with numerous influencing factors, such as those related to the 2024 US election. Most of the top 20 most suspicious trades flagged were related to the 2024 election results, involving approximately $16 million in profits; the remainder involved Federal Reserve decisions and sporting events. Harry Crane, a statistics professor at Rutgers University, questioned the study's methodology, arguing that its suspiciousness ranking relied too heavily on profitability. The study authors acknowledged that the methodology may have included over- or under-inclusion scenarios and characterized the identified suspicious trading volume as a "conservative lower bound estimate of abnormal profits." Polymarket announced earlier this month a ban on trading using "stolen confidential information" and "illegal tips," but its offshore exchange does not collect user names or other identifying information, and the method of enforcement remains unclear.

The International Space Station (ISS) experienced its first medical evacuation since it began hosting rotating astronaut crews in November 2000. According to Ming Pao, U.S. astronaut Mike Fincke was involved in the incident, which occurred in mid-January this year. Fincke revealed that he suddenly lost the ability to speak while aboard the ISS, and the cause of this condition remains unknown.

Pakistan is set to host a four-nation foreign ministers meeting in Islamabad on March 30, involving Turkey, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia, to discuss ways to ease tensions in the Middle East and promote regional stability. According to Jin10, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif stated on March 27 that Pakistan is making sincere and comprehensive diplomatic efforts to help end the Middle East conflict, aiming to shield regional countries from its devastating consequences. Pakistan's Defense Minister Khawaja Asif mentioned that Pakistan is working alongside Egypt and Turkey towards the goal of ending the Middle East war. Additionally, Pakistan's Foreign Minister Dar noted on March 26 that indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran are being facilitated through Pakistan's communication channels.

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) issued a statement on the 28th, saying that on the 27th, the IDF deployed more than 50 warplanes to strike nuclear facilities and weapons bases in three regions of Iran. The statement said the operation consisted of three waves of strikes lasting several hours, targeting a heavy water plant in Arak, a special facility in Yazd used for producing explosive materials needed for uranium enrichment, and a weapons production base. (Xinhua)

BNB Chain announced on the X platform that the first phase of the BNB Beacon Chain recovery tool will cease operation in 3 days. Users holding BEP2 tokens on BNB Beacon Chain should migrate them to BSC as soon as possible to expedite processing.

Raphaël Thuin of Tikehau Capital points directly to the core contradiction: "The traditional concept of safe-haven assets is increasingly being challenged. The ever-evolving dynamics of the global economy and financial markets have complicated this narrative."

Market trends, crypto market, investment, crypto crash, US-China AI war... Jinse Finance: What have the crypto KOLs been talking about in the past 24 hours?

In 2026, Naval's statement "Software was eaten by AI" went viral, garnering over 100 million views and definitively announcing the end of the software era and the arrival of the AI ​​era.

The war with Iran has become the strongest geopolitical shock to the global energy market since the Gulf War in 1990.

Jinse Finance launches the "Jinse Web3.0 Daily," providing you with the latest and fastest news on MEME, DeFi, DAO, NFT, and the metaverse industry.

Hyperliquid capitalized on this geopolitical market trend with its commodity contracts. Decentralized exchanges are moving from internal competition within the crypto industry to becoming a true alternative to traditional financial infrastructure, and this trend is only just beginning.

The release of the guidelines has ushered in a new phase for US crypto regulation.

When the United States decided to replace the 50 states with Washington, AI entrepreneurs gained a wider door—but no one told them who held the key to that door.

SpaceX is reshaping Wall Street's traditional underwriting logic with an unprecedented IPO plan.

When the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York dismissed Binance's "aiding and abetting terrorism" lawsuit on the grounds of "failure to prove a direct link," the significance of this case went far beyond a mere judgment.