Cryptocurrency Market Signals Potential Shift Amid Low Activity

According to PANews, the cryptocurrency market is entering the new year with low activity levels, yet derivative positions are indicating a potential shift. Despite declining trading volumes and participation, volatility is narrowing, funding rates are rising, and leverage remains high. The lack of coordination between ETF fund flows, stablecoin trading, and futures positions suggests underlying market turbulence. Adjustments in the options market often signal a change in market dynamics rather than a continuation of trends. Technical indicators are nearing critical points, where minor fluctuations could trigger significant asset allocation changes. Cryptocurrency trading volume has decreased by 30%. As the orderly closing of futures contracts continues, funding rates have slightly increased. Bitcoin's downward trend persists but may turn bullish in January. Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 43%, indicating a bullish signal, while the stochastic indicator is at 30%, showing a bearish signal. Bitcoin is 4.5% away from triggering a trend change, with the current trend being bearish. The key short-term bullish/bearish price is $88,421, and the main bullish/bearish price is $98,759. Ethereum may also experience a bullish trend change in January. Ethereum's RSI is at 44%, indicating a bullish signal, while the stochastic indicator is at 23%, showing a bearish signal. Ethereum is 5% away from triggering a trend change, with the current trend being bearish. The key short-term bullish/bearish price is $2,991, and the main bullish/bearish price is $3,363. The actual volatility of Bitcoin and Ethereum has begun to decline significantly: Bitcoin's 30-day actual volatility is 38.2%, below its 30-day average of 45%, a decrease of 7%. Ethereum's 30-day actual volatility is 61.2%, 5 percentage points lower than its 30-day average of 66.6%.