Polymarket odds for a foldable iPhone U.S. launch price above $2,300 fell to 15%, down 35% from the previous week. The probability of a price above $2,200 dropped to 42%, down 17% week over week, according to Odaily.
The event contract treats any foldable smartphone released by Apple as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly named iPhone. If the first publicly released U.S. price for a foldable iPhone is at or above the specified amount, the market will resolve to yes; otherwise, it will resolve to no. If Apple releases multiple foldable iPhone models, the lowest announced starting price will be used. If Apple does not announce a foldable iPhone price by 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on September 30, 2026, the market will resolve to no.
Apple said its 2026 fall product event will be held at 1 a.m. on September 10, with the theme “Surprise and shine.” Vodafone’s backend pricing in Australia and Egypt reportedly leaked, and an Australian channel leak showed the iPhone Ultra with 256GB, 512GB, and 1TB storage options starting at 3,699 Australian dollars. Industry estimates based on that leak put the U.S. starting price for the Ultra at around $2,000.
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