U.S. CLARITY Act Passage Odds Fall to 48% on Polymarket After Senate Committee Vote

Jefferies said the U.S. CLARITY Act passed the Senate Banking Committee with a bipartisan 15-9 vote but still faces significant legislative hurdles. According to NS3.AI, Polymarket data shows the probability of the bill passing before the end of 2026 fell to 48%, down from 70% in mid-May. Jefferies said that if the legislation is delayed, regulatory uncertainty would persist, potentially weighing on institutional crypto activity.