Polymarket Launches Prediction on U.S. Congress Resolution for Military Action in Iran

Polymarket has introduced a new prediction event regarding whether the U.S. House and Senate will pass the same resolution by June 30, 2026, aimed at restricting U.S. military actions in Iran. According to Odaily, since the escalation of U.S. military operations in Iran at the end of February, Congress has experienced multiple failed attempts to address the authority of the 1973 War Powers Resolution. Although the Senate advanced a procedural vote in mid-May and the House formed a bipartisan majority, the House Republican leadership withdrew and postponed the resolution's vote citing 'absence of members and insufficient votes' before the May 21 recess. As Congress members return to Washington after the Memorial Day recess in early June, the time window for both chambers to unify the amendment text and achieve final passage is extremely limited. Additionally, the White House's potential veto stance suggests that the market believes the two chambers may not reach a substantive agreement by the June 30 deadline.