The U.S. Senate's crypto market structure bill has a realistic passage window from June to early August, according to Greg Cipolaro, Head of Research at financial services firm NYDIG. If not advanced within this period, the bill could face uncertainty extending beyond the midterm elections.
According to Odaily, White House crypto advisor Patrick Witt previously suggested July 4 as an ideal legislative target. However, NYDIG considers this timeline optimistic, as the bill must undergo committee review, a full Senate vote, and House procedures.
The legislation aims to clarify the U.S. regulatory framework for crypto assets and is considered one of the most critical bills of the year. It has faced delays due to disagreements over stablecoin regulation, ethical clauses, and DeFi rules. The Senate Banking Committee has moved the draft to a full Senate vote, requiring at least 60 votes for passage.
Analysts indicate that if the bill is not passed before the election cycle, changes in Senate control between Republicans and Democrats could further reduce legislative certainty, leaving the industry in a "regulatory gray area."
If the bill is eventually passed and signed into law, it would provide regulatory clarity to the market, particularly by classifying Bitcoin as a commodity, thereby reducing uncertainty for institutional entry.