Polymarket Predicts High Probability of U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Agreement

Polymarket has placed a 70% probability on the likelihood of a ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran being reached by April 30. According to Foresight News, the probability of reaching an agreement by March 31 is 44%, while the chance of it happening by March 15 is 24%. The trading volume for this prediction event has exceeded $4.3 million.