Binance Market Update | Anthropic Targets Up to $1.75T IPO Valuation as December Fed Hike Odds Rise to 78%
Anthropic still plans to list before Thanksgiving at a $1.25T-$1.75T valuation, raising $80B-$100B despite the tech sell-off. US stocks closed mixed Friday as chips rebounded (Philadelphia Semiconductor Index +4.21%), while October payrolls of 165,000 beat expectations and lifted December hike odds to 78% from 70%. Tuesday’s October CPI is the next test, with consensus at 3.7% headline and 2.5% core. Bitcoin ETFs saw $412M in outflows, $403M from IBIT. China’s central bank extended its gold-buying streak to two years.Anthropic Still Plans Pre-Thanksgiving IPO, Targeting Up to $1.75 Trillion ValuationAnthropic plans to list before US Thanksgiving, targeting $1.25T-$1.75T and proceeds of $80B-$100B, per the Financial Times via ChainCatcher. The midpoint of about $1.5T is below the $2T some investors had expected, as tech stocks sell off. Investors said it hopes to list on schedule even at a lower valuation. Q3 revenue grew nearly 50% to about $17B, and the annualized run rate is about $81B, up from $65B at end-July. It plans about $900B of compute and infrastructure spending over the coming years and holds nearly $150B in cash and liquid investments. JPMorgan is expected to brief potential investors on November 13.Mixed Close as Chip Stocks Rebound, Microsoft Winds Down Oracle AI Computing DealThe Dow fell 0.46% to 51,285.73, the S&P 500 rose 0.31% to 7,376.86 and the Nasdaq gained 1.09% to 24,579.42. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 4.21%: AMD over 11%, Intel over 7%, TSMC over 6%. Thursday’s data center slowdown fears had wiped out $1T from the Magnificent Seven in a day. Democratic lawmakers, including Texas governor-elect Gina Hinojosa, called for curbing data center expansion, though they take office in January. Microsoft is reportedly winding down its arrangement to rent AI computing power from Oracle. December WTI rose 0.34% to $90.83 and January Brent to $98.32. October payrolls added 165,000 jobs, well above expectations, with unemployment at 4.1%, and December hike odds rose to 78% from 70%.U.S. October CPI in Focus as Markets Weigh December Rate Hike ProspectsOctober CPI is due Tuesday, November 10, followed by PPI on Friday. Consensus is +0.3% monthly headline, +0.2% core, with annual headline steady at 3.7% and core easing to 2.5% from 2.6%. Survey data points to upside risk: ISM Services Prices Paid at 73, and S&P Global PMIs showed selling prices rising at their fastest pace since August 2022. LSEG data showed a 75% probability of a December 9 hike. Monex’s Nick Rees said that without a significant downside surprise in CPI or the November jobs report on December 4, a hike could be almost fully priced in. Seeking Alpha’s Damir Tokic argued AI bubble concerns could eventually outweigh inflation data and shift the Fed toward easing.Bitcoin ETFs See $412M in Net Outflows, With BlackRock's IBIT Losing $403MSpot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $412M in net outflows on November 6 (US Eastern Time), per PANews citing SoSoValue. IBIT posted the largest outflow at $403M, while Fidelity’s FBTC had the largest inflow at $42.8M.China’s Gold-Buying Streak Reaches Two Years as Prices FallChina’s central bank added to gold reserves in October, extending its buying streak to two years, per Bloomberg. Gold fell almost 7% in the month and ended below the $4,000 support threshold.Two flags: story 4’s source text was cut off mid-sentence, so I used only the figures before the cut. And story 2 says Hinojosa is “governor-elect” of Texas per the source; verify before publishing.
